Methodology
The benchmark
Every indicator is compared with its value on Jan 19, 2025, the day before the second Trump inauguration. Where a series is not published daily, the benchmark is the last reading on or before that date — for stock indexes that is the Friday close, for monthly series it is the December 2024 reading.
Updating
Data is pulled from the original publishers and cached for a few hours at a time, so figures refresh through the day without hammering the source APIs. Each card shows the date of the reading it displays, which is the honest measure of how current it is.
Limitations
- Market levels are end-of-day closes, not live quotes.
- Monthly series such as CPI, payrolls and home prices are released weeks after the period they describe.
- Price indexes are index levels, not dollars. The percentage change since the benchmark is the meaningful number.
- No figure here is adjusted, smoothed or reweighted; values are shown exactly as published.
- The annual deficit chart uses the supplied 2007–2026 workbook; its 2026 period contains 353 days.
- The ground beef, gasoline, diesel and electricity charts use supplied monthly price tables; they are not part of the live federal data feed. Electricity values cite BLS Series APU000072610.
Series tracked
| Indicator | Source |
|---|---|
| Grocery prices | BLS via FRED |
| S&P 500 | S&P Dow Jones Indices via FRED |
| Nasdaq Composite | Nasdaq via FRED |
| Dow Jones Industrial | S&P Dow Jones Indices via FRED |
| Unemployment rate | BLS via FRED |
| Total jobs | BLS via FRED |
| 30-year mortgage rate | Freddie Mac via FRED |
| Home prices | S&P CoreLogic via FRED |
| Consumer prices (CPI) | BLS via FRED |
| Daily federal budget deficit | US Federal Budget Deficit workbook (2007–2026) |
| Average ground beef price | User-provided ground beef price table |
| Average gasoline price | User-provided gasoline price table |
| Average diesel price | User-provided diesel price table |
| Average electricity price | U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics — Series APU000072610 |
| Energy commodity comparison | User-provided energy commodity comparison |